The Stone City

Words Made to Last

Wednesday, November 02, 2005


The TradeSports markets on Samuel Alito show an interesting picture: as of this writing, Mr. Alito is 94% (mid-market) to receive 50 or more votes in the Senate, 80% to be confirmed, and 58% to receive 60 or more votes. The spread between the first two numbers shows the perceived likelihood of a successful filibuster.